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Talk:Monty Hall problem: Difference between revisions

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Talk:Monty Hall problem (view source)

Revision as of 05:42, 13 April 2011

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Monty Hall problem is FALSE yo
(Monty Hall problem is FALSE yo)
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I've flagged the entry and hopefully someone will take a look and correct it. --[[User:Paddy3118|Paddy3118]] 16:19, 26 September 2009 (UTC)
 
==AutoHotkey Implementation==
The AHK implementation doesn't show percentages relative to each other, it shows percentages total - should it? In any case, it should be pretty simple to change. Also, I can't figure out why the output is so off - is it, or is it just because of the way I did it? [[User:BR|BR]] 18:39, 12 April 2010 (UTC)
 
I dont beleive everyone else, This is my theory:
 
okalright, now lets say each O is a door-
door #'s: 1 2 3
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probability: 1/3 1/3 1/3
 
okay each door has a 1/3 chance; but the two on the left have 66% chance.correct,
So now say we pick one for example, door 3; okayawesome possum, so we say that it has a 33% chance of it being a car.
So now we open door one2 and it's a goat. Now some think that door one still has a 666% chance and door 3 has 33% chance,
but thats not true because now we only have '''2''' numbers; therefore it's 50/50 chance between the two
 
and iI was looking at using this withand bigthey were using larger numbers liketo 10try doorsand so:explain weit, havethis tenis doorswhat I think:
 
door #'s: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
doors: O O O O O O O O O O
 
So each onedoor has a 10% chance
now say we openpredict door 9,; at this point, you only have a 1 in 10 chance of getting it right. now next step:
 
lets say we open all the doors except for door 7 and door 9. so looking at this problem with all the doorsNow you would think it's in door 7, BUT thats not true now we just have two doors and TWO doors only not 10 but Two:
 
door #'s: 7 9
Doors: O O
 
okay and now they both have a 50/50 chance. PROBLEM?
 
Well then,This is what I believe to be truethink, ifmy youfriend havetells anythingme toI'm persuadecrazy me,but pleaseI i reallyjust don't understand how it's a 2/3 chanceknow.
Anonymous user
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