Talk:Monty Hall problem: Difference between revisions
→Scheme Solution Problem?: The statistics is not too bad
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: Sounds like they've got a bug; that's massively off the expected frequency. Probably due to incorrect problem modeling; it's very easy to get the problem model wrong or jump to a (wrong) solution. That's why the Tcl solution specifically models the whole thing, since only then can you know whether you've got it right or blundered. —[[User:Dkf|Donal Fellows]] 10:34, 26 September 2009 (UTC)
: sqrt(1M)=1000, so a deviation of this order of magnitude isn't exactly unexpected. Indeed, in this case the deviation is just below two standard deviations, i.e. a bit high, but still inside the 95% confidence interval. That is, for a truly random sequence with probabilities 1/3 and 2/3, there's a 5% chance of an even higher deviation. So, no clear indication of a problem. --[[User:Ce|Ce]] 10:39, 26 September 2009 (UTC)
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