Talk:Monty Hall problem: Difference between revisions

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door #'s: 1 2 3
door #'s: 1 2 3
doors: O O O
doors: O O O
probability 1/3 1/3 1/3
probability: 1/3 1/3 1/3

okay each door has a 1/3 chance; but the two on the left have 66% chance.
okay each door has a 1/3 chance; but the two on the left have 66% chance.
So now say we pick one for example, door 3 okay so we say that it has a 33% chance.
So now say we pick one for example, door 3 okay so we say that it has a 33% chance.
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and i was looking at using this with big numbers like 10 doors so: we have ten doors
and i was looking at using this with big numbers like 10 doors so: we have ten doors

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
O O O O O O O O O O
O O O O O O O O O O

each one has a 10% chance
each one has a 10% chance
now say we open door 9, at this point, you only have a 1 in 10 chance of getting it right. now next step:
now say we open door 9, at this point, you only have a 1 in 10 chance of getting it right. now next step:


lets say we open all the doors except for door 7 and door 9 so looking at this problem with all the doors you would think it's in door 7, BUT thats not true now we just have two doors:
lets say we open all the doors except for door 7 and door 9 so looking at this problem with all the doors you would think it's in door 7, BUT thats not true now we just have two doors:

7 9
7 9
O O
O O

okay and now they both have a 50/50 chance.
okay and now they both have a 50/50 chance.